{"id":3013,"date":"2026-01-17T21:35:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-17T13:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/2026\/01\/17\/bills-vs-broncos-prediction-probabilities-2026-nfl-draft-class-with-proven-model\/"},"modified":"2026-01-17T21:41:39","modified_gmt":"2026-01-17T13:41:39","slug":"bills-vs-broncos-prediction-probabilities-2026-nfl-draft-class-with-proven-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/2026\/01\/17\/bills-vs-broncos-prediction-probabilities-2026-nfl-draft-class-with-proven-model\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills vs. Broncos prediction, probabilities: 2026 NFL draft class with proven model"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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The divisional round of the 2026 NFL playoffs begins when the Denver Broncos host the Buffalo Bills on Saturday. The Broncos (14-3) tied for the league’s best record, won back-to-back games to close the regular season and earned a bye as the AFC’s No. 1 seed. The Bills (12-5) have won six of their last seven contests, including a 27-24 road victory over Jacksonville in Sunday’s wild card game. Buffalo safety Jordan Poyer (hamstring) has been ruled out, while defensive end Ed Oliver (bicep) and receiver Curtis Samuel (elbow) are among the players listed as questionable. <\/p>\n

Kickoff is 4:30 pm ET from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, where the Broncos are 8-1 this season. The latest stats for the Broncos vs. The Bills from DraftKings Sportsbook list Denver as a 1.5-point favorite, while the over\/under is 45.5. Before making any Bills vs. Broncos, check out NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. <\/p>\n

Watch the game on CBS or stream on Paramount+. <\/strong>Register right here<\/strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\n

The model, which simulates every NFL play 10,000 times, has raised more than $7,000 for $100 players in the NFL’s top picks since its inception. The model enters the division stage of the 2026 NFL playoffs with a 53-37 run among top-ranked picks dating back to 2024. Anyone following their NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and betting sites could have seen a strong return.<\/p>\n

Now, the model has set its sights on the Broncos vs. Bills. You can visit SportsLine now to see the selection. Here are the NFL Bills and betting trends Bills vs. Broncos:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
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The spread of the Broncos vs. Bills<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

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Denver -1.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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Broncos vs. Bills over\/under<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

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45.5 points <\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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Broncos vs. Bill money line <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

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Denver -120, Buffalo +100<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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Broncos vs. Bills<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

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See the picks on SportsLine<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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Broncos vs. Bills <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

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Important+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Why these Bills do not cover<\/h2>\n

It was just a year ago that the Bills outscored the Broncos, 31-7, in the playoffs, but Buffalo’s dominance over Denver goes way back beyond that. The Bills are 8-1 against the spread against the Broncos in their last nine meetings, with three of those games taking place in Denver. Buffalo just beat an elite defense in Jacksonville, which had the No. 1 defense. 1 and forced the second most turnovers. So, the Bills should have an easy time of it come Saturday, and Denver has very little opportunistic defense in the postseason. No 2026 playoff team has forced fewer turnovers than the Broncos’ 14, fewer than one per game. The Bills are undefeated (8-0) when they don’t give up the ball and have an 11-1 record with one or more turnovers. See which team to support on SportsLine. <\/p>\n

Why the Broncos would cover him<\/h2>\n

This will be Buffalo’s eighth straight road game since the 1970 merger, and the Bills have played just once in that span. One also can’t discount Denver coming off the bye, as the Broncos are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five with a shutout advantage, while the Bills are 1-4 ATS this season when they rest less than their opponents. Denver has a terrible pass rush as its 68 sacks are fifth in NFL history, and the Bills have struggled against Josh Allen. The Broncos average sacks per game, and Buffalo has lost six straight games, including 0-3 this season, when Allen was sacked at least four times. Additionally, Sean Payton and company could use a strong Buffalo defense as just four teams have allowed more yards on the ground than Buffalo this season. See which team to support on SportsLine.<\/p>\n

How to make Bills vs. Broncos picks<\/h2>\n

The SportsLine model simulated the Broncos vs. Bills 10,000 times and goes over the total, showing a combined 47 points. It also says that one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the simulation. You can only find a selection at SportsLine. <\/p>\n

So who wins Bills vs. Broncos, and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side the Broncos vs. Bills spread to jump on it, all from an improved model that has increased more than $7,000 in its NFL draft since its inception, and find out.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The divisional round of the 2026 NFL playoffs begins when the Denver Broncos host the Buffalo Bills on Saturday. The Broncos (14-3) tied for the league’s best record, won back-to-back games to close the regular season and earned a bye as the AFC’s No. 1 seed. The Bills (12-5) have won six of their last …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3014,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-breaking-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3013"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3013\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3015,"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3013\/revisions\/3015"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3014"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.insightresearcher.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}