NFL

NFL Anytime Touchdown Picks, TD Bets, and +1533 Divisional Round TD Parlay

ballervisions 2026年1月18日

The Divisional Round is loaded with touchdowns if you know where to look.

Two tight ends step into first-look roles, which provide more money at the top spots. The dual-threat quarterback is undersized and living off his legs after seeing increased use of the red zone on the floor.

Add in a running back who owns nearly all of his team’s red-zone work, and this slate is ready to attack. NFL touchdown resources this weekend.

Read more in my NFL picks for all four sports.

Matching	TD Select
BUF vs DEN	>
SF vs THE SEA	>
HOU vs NE	>
LAR vs CHI	>

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

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The Kings Are Not Prepared

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Bills vs Broncos

Bo Nix (+320 at DraftKings) A+

In a four-game span from Weeks 14-17, Bo Nix logged seven red-zone rushing attempts and converted two of them into touchdowns. For context, leading rusher RJ Harvey had 10 red-zone snaps in that span and scored two touchdowns.

Nix is a faster pass threat than the market gives him credit for. He picked up his rushing late in the season, carrying the ball 17 times for 91 yards in Weeks 17 and 18 while adding five more red-zone interceptions.

If Denver can establish a run against a lax defense, a play-action bootleg near the goal line sets up nicely for the Nix to pull this off at a solid price.

49ers vs Seahawks

Zach Charbonnet (-105 at DraftKings) A

Since Week 12, Zach Charbonnet has taken over Seattle’s red-zone duties, making 23 tackles to Kenneth Walker’s nine and converting six of those opportunities into touchdowns. Inside the five-yard line, the run favors Charbonnet by an 8–1 margin.

In the last two games, including Week 18 vs. In San Francisco, Charbonnet has 35 carries for 184 yards and three TDs, along with more receiving work. Walker has the same overall volume but almost no red zone usage.

Charbonnet is clearly the main finisher, making +100 a solid value.

Texans vs Patriots

Hunter Henry (+200 on DraftKings) A

No one on the Patriots ran more routes in the Wild Card round than Hunter Henry, who tied for the team lead with five carries and scored the offense’s only touchdown.

Henry was priced at +125 to score back in Week 18 and continues to be the clear top option near the goal line, owning seven more red zone yards from Week 10 than all New England wide receivers.

New England isn’t expected to put up many points Sunday, making the No.1 target’s support in the passing game at its best price in months a neat angle. Houston has also been vulnerable to tight ends, allowing eight TDs this season compared to just 10 to wide receivers.

Rams vs Bears

Colston Loveland (+200 on DraftKings) A+

After leading all pass catchers in yards last week, I didn’t expect Colston Loveland to be priced north of +170 in the top game of the Divisional Round.

Loveland did all but score in the Wild Card, hauling in 15 targets for 137 yards. He may draw more attention this week, but this Rams offense has enough weapons on defense that they can only focus on him. This same defense recently allowed more than 200 yards to Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker and has given up 149 points in its last five games, including ties to Bryce Young, Jacoby Brissett, and Kirk Cousins.

Loveland is in full monster mode, coming off three straight games of 90-plus yards—and there’s no reason to expect that streak to end Sunday.

More NFL Divisional touchdown predictions

Divisional Round anytime touchdown parlay

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Zach Charbonnet

Hunter Henry

Colston Loveland

+1533 on DraftKings

Charbonnet has dominated the red-zone opportunities lately, and Sam Darnold has been unreliable when throwing near the goal line.

I’m going to include two tight ends who are probably the most targeted in their passing attack.

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