The Minnesota Timberwolves lost a close one against the Houston Rockets on Friday, and the road ahead isn’t easy when they travel to the Frost Bank Center to face the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday.
San Antonio is rested and healthy, and my Timberwolves vs Spurs predictions expect the home team to cover the spread and get back in the win column against the Wolves.
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Here are my free NBA picks for the Western Conference showdown on Saturday, January 17.
Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction
Timberwolves vs Spurs is the best bet: Spurs -6.5 (-110)
Anthony Edwards hit the game-winner to take down the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday at Target Center, but Ant-Man was disappointed, and the Spurs were playing at home. Saturday’s rematch gives San Antonio a great opportunity to bring home a win and cover the spread.
The Spurs are 11-7-1 ATS at home and 9-7-1 as a home favorite. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 9-12 ATS on the road, 3-4 as a road dog, and 5-9 on offense. The Spurs have a +7.2 point differential per game at home, good for sixth best in the Association.
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Minnesota is in the second leg of a back-to-back set and will play its third road game in four days. Anthony Edwards is questionable after sitting out Friday, and even if he does play, he’ll likely be less than 100 percent. I’ll take a healthy, rested Spurs and points as they get revenge on Wolves.
Timberwolves vs Spurs for the same game
The Wolves and Spurs are two of the best defenses in the NBA. Minnesota has hit the Over in 13 of 21 games on the road, but San Antonio has done so in just seven of 19 home games, including five of 17 as a home favorite. The Spurs have hit the Under eight in a row, and I don’t expect that streak to end against the tired legs of Minnesota. Add in Anthony Edwards’ injury, and this looks like a low-scoring game.
Victor Wembanyama has scored at least 24 points in 14 of 27 games overall, including eight of 14 at the Frost Bank Centre. He posted 29 points against Wolves on Sunday, and delivered 34 in his final contest of the 2024-25 campaign with them. The star is averaging 25.4 points in his last five home games.
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Timberwolves vs Spurs SGP
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Wembanyama Over 23.5 points
Our SGP “from the city”: Wemby Spurs San Antonio to success
Naz Reid is averaging 14.9 points per game this season, and has scored 15+ points in 22 of 42 games overall, and 11 of 20 on the road. Reid has hit the streak in four straight games, including a 17-point performance against the Spurs on Sunday. With Anthony Edwards incarcerated, Reid could see a bump in offensive usage.
Timberwolves vs Spurs SGP
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Wembanyama Over 23.5 points
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Naz Reid Over 14.5 points
Timberwolves vs Spurs odds
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Spreading: Timberwolves +6.5 | Spurs – 6.5
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Moneyline: Timberwolves +210 | Spurs – 260
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Above/Below: Over 228.5 | Less than 228.5
Timberwolves vs Spurs betting trend you should know
The San Antonio Spurs have hit a 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.45 Units / 36% ROI). Find more NBA betting tips for Timberwolves vs. Spurs.
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How to watch Timberwolves vs Spurs
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Location |
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
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The day |
Saturday, January 17, 2026 |
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Tip |
8:00 pm ET |
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The TV |
FDSN |
Timberwolves vs Spurs latest injury
Not intended for use in MA.
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