The Chicago Bears have reached the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, where they will host the LA Rams at Soldier Field. Last week, we said we like a high quality game, and that’s exactly what we got as we got close to 60 points between these two teams.
Last week, we won 2-1 on our prop bet (we also hit the Rome Odunze bonus bet but that doesn’t count as a legitimate pick). Our season record now stands at 32-16. Let’s take a look at the numbers for this week’s game against the LA Rams and give you 3 plays.
Caleb Williams OVER 217.5 Passing Yards -114
I think it’s the game that I feel the best about in this game. Unless the Bears get a scare and Caleb looks awful, I feel strongly that Caleb Williams will pass this number. The Rams can get to the quarterback on the edge, but the secondary is vulnerable to giving up too many yards. Bryce Young just threw 264 against this secondary, and we can all agree that those two QBs are not on the same level. Yes, there is the possibility of strong winds on Sunday night, and that could absolutely affect the passing game, but I think with Williams’ strong arm, however, he will use the ball in the wind and get the passing game going.
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D’Andre Swift OVER 54.5 Rushing Yards -114
We lost Swift last week, but it’s hard to ignore the consistency she tends to have week after week. The Rams run defense is very good, and the Bears run game didn’t look as cool last week against Green Bay as you would have liked, but if the Bears are going to beat LA, they will have to reduce the amount of time this Rams offense has the ball against the Bears defense. Also, if the wind affects the game, keeping the ball down will be an added option. I think Swift goes above this number; he may not be breaking it, but I think he’s in his 60s.
Puka Nacua OVER 98.5 Receiving Yards -114
The purpose of this article is to win money, not a straight rah, rah Chicago Bears. I don’t see how Nacua doesn’t play against this Bears secondary. He had 111 yards last week, and had a 3 game stretch in December where he had 190 yards per game. He is Stafford’s favorite; he will always point to him, especially when it is windy. He’ll use Nacua’s quick routes and hit him with plenty of short stuff, too. I feel like Nacua will really eclipse the 100 yards on Sunday.
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BONUS: Cole Kmet OVER 10.5 Receiving Yards -114
We’ve released quite a few betting bonuses this year, and I think they’ve all hit, so why not something else? Bears have enough offensive weapons that it is difficult to determine who will eat the most stones. It may be Rome Odunze, but he is still explosive. Colston Loveland has become a favorite of Caleb Williams. Luther Burden and DJ Moore always seem to see the target. Cole Kmet has become almost the team’s strongest blocker and has been largely eliminated in the passing attack. Kmet has only received 46 yards in his last four games, but still, he has passed for this number in 3 of those 4 games. I think Ben Johnson likes to roll when others expect him to roll, and I think Kmet will see a few more targets this Sunday and should surpass this number.
